Get Premium

World · UEFA Champions League

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig

Prediction, head to head and stats

Real Madrid

Full time

4–1

21 October 2026

RB Leipzig

Shortest price

Real Madrid

1.22 · 76% of the 1X2 market

Who wins

1 · X · 2
1X2
76%14%
  • Real Madrid76%
  • Draw14%
  • RB Leipzig10%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Over / under 2.5
81%19%
  • Over 2.581%
  • Under 2.519%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Both teams score
67%33%
  • Both teams score67%
  • Not both33%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Double chance
45%43%12%
  • 1X45%
  • 1243%
  • X212%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Bookmaker odds

Real MadridDrawRB Leipzig

The bookmaker bar is the stored prices with the margin removed. Head to head is the count of earlier meetings. Neither is a promised result.

Betting markets

MATCH RESULT

Real Madrid1.2276% implied
Draw6.514.3% implied
RB Leipzig9.59.8% implied

TOTAL GOALS

Under 0.5340.7% implied
Over 1.51.0422.7% implied
Under 1.5131.8% implied
Over 2.51.1720.2% implied
Under 2.554.7% implied
Over 3.51.4416.4% implied
Under 3.52.758.6% implied
Over 4.5211.8% implied
Under 4.51.813.1% implied

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

Both teams score1.467.3% implied
Not both2.8832.7% implied

DOUBLE CHANCE

1X1.0645% implied
121.1143% implied
X2411.9% implied

FIRST HALF RESULT

Real Madrid1.5359.4% implied
Draw3.327.6% implied
RB Leipzig713% implied

SECOND HALF RESULT

Real Madrid1.4461.7% implied
Draw3.624.7% implied
RB Leipzig6.513.7% implied

HALF GOALS

1st half over 0.51.12100% implied

Team comparison

82%Points per game18%
Real MadridRB Leipzig

Goal lines

  • Over 1.5 goals82%
  • Over 2.5 goals60%
  • Both teams score68%
  • 1st half over 0.572%

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: preview

Real Madrid meet RB Leipzig in the World, UEFA Champions League on 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 76% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.17, about 81% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 60% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 68%.

Real Madrid are listed at 45 points per game. RB Leipzig are listed at 10 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig questions

What time is Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
Kickoff is 20:00 on 21 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
Which outcome is shortest on Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 76%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
Over 2.5 is 1.17 and under 2.5 is 5.
Do both teams score on this match?
Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction, H2H and stats